RevenuePractitionerPractitioner

Forecasting & Pricing Decisions

Move from gut-feel to forecast-driven pricing. Build a 90-day forecast, defend a BAR strategy, and re-forecast every week without breaking discipline.

11 lessons · 3 modules6 hrs totalElif Demir

When you finish this course…

  • Build a 90-day demand forecast from on-the-books data and historical patterns
  • Decide when to open and close a BAR rate with defensible reasoning
  • Read pickup pace by segment and channel and flag the dangerous gaps
  • Explain dynamic pricing to a skeptical owner without using the word "AI"
  • Hold your forecast to within ±5% over a rolling quarter
  • Lead a 30-minute weekly revenue meeting that the GM doesn't skip

About this course

Most hotel pricing happens by gut-feel, copied from last year, or matched to the competitor. None of those is a strategy. This course teaches the forecasting and pricing discipline that separates a credible revenue manager from someone who just opens and closes rates.

You'll build a 90-day demand forecast from on-the-books data; learn the BAR/BAR-LOS restrictions that actually move RevPAR; and walk through the weekly forecast meeting template that has worked at 14 hotels across resort, urban, and airport markets.

By the end, you'll hold your forecast within ±5% over a rolling quarter — the threshold above which owners start ignoring you, and below which they start trusting you.

Curriculum

11 lessons · 109 min
01
The forecasting toolkit
On the books, pickup, pace, lead time. Building the 90-day OTB curve. When the data lies.
4 lessons
02
Rate strategy that survives audit
BAR, BAR-LOS, LOS restrictions. The 7-day rate calendar. Why "match the competitor" is a losing strategy.
4 lessons
03
The weekly forecast meeting
Who should be in the room. The 3-slide template. When to push back on the GM.
3 lessons
Instructor
Elif Demir
Revenue Practice Lead · 14 yrs · Antalya + Istanbul